Uncertainty isn’t always negative

Uncertainty is a part of our lives. We don’t know the future and we we try to estimate it (as a species) we fail miserably.

8 X 8 does not equal 64.

Why? because 8 might feel like an accurate assessment but there is some level of variation. If you did (8+/-1) X (8+/-1) you don’t get 64. You get a range that includes 64.

Because we’ve all been burned by estimates not becoming reality we can have a tenuous view of the future.

That tenuous view isn’t an absolute. Sometimes we like uncertainty. Comedy and Magic both play on our love of uncertainty with a positive outcome. Presents are another form of uncertainty with a positive connotation.

As a Project Leader it’s important to view uncertainty as neutral. There are both threats and positive surprises. The balance may be more on the threats, don’t be wary of being guarded against them.

Be cautious about being too guarded. If your project sees you constantly overcome and viewing uncertainty as only a negative element, they’ll follow your lead. Treat uncertainty in a way where it can be both positive an negative.